CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-01-07T10:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-01-07T10:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36325/-1
CME Note: Super faint CME to the S (SE in STEREO A). The source could be a C2.5 flare and a minor eruption near AR 3951 (S14W06) seen after 09:35Z as dimming/brightening in STEREO A EUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-01-10T16:47Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/36330/1 Model Inputs: 2025-01-07T10:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=12.0, Lat.=-30.0, Speed=470.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2025-01-07T17:24Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-01-10T16:47Z (+- 7 hours) Duration of disturbance (hr) =17.1 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.6 (kp)90=4 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-11T07:14Z STEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-10T12:11Z Europa Clipper with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-11T20:00Z Juice with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-09T06:00Z Mars with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-12T18:00Z Solar Orbiter with esitmated shock arrival time 2025-01-09T20:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250107_172400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 69.40 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mattie Anastopulos (M2M Office) on 2025-01-07T19:23Z
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